Tag: pymc
All the articles with the tag "pymc".
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Simulation-Based Calibration: The Missing Test in Your Bayesian Workflow
Passing R-hat and ESS tells you the sampler converged — it says nothing about whether the inference is correct. Simulation-Based Calibration is the test that checks the inference itself.
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Read the Diagnostics First
R-hat, ESS, and divergences are not bureaucratic hurdles before you report a ROAS — they're the sampler telling you whether its output is valid. Here's what each one actually measures and what it reveals when it fails.
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mmm-framework 0.1.0 Is on PyPI
The first public release of mmm-framework — a Bayesian marketing-mix modeling library built on PyMC-Marketing, designed around methodological rigor instead of specification shopping. pip install mmm-framework.
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Building a Pre-Specified Bayesian MMM
Most marketing mix models are tuned until the numbers flatter the brief. Here's the case for pre-specifying the model instead, and how mmm-framework builds the discipline into its API.