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Tag: topic/forecasting
11 items with this tag.
Sep 23, 2026
Q: What changes in the ROAS / mROAS optimization if the outcome is customer lifetime value rather than sales, given that CLV is a model-based forecast observed with delay and censoring?
type/qa
topic/customer-lifetime-value
topic/market-response
topic/causal-inference
topic/forecasting
topic/uncertainty-quantification
Sep 23, 2026
Q: Partial pooling shows up as hierarchical models, James–Stein / empirical Bayes shrinkage, global-local shrinkage priors, the Gamma-Gamma and NBD customer models, global forecasting models and LLM pretraining. What is the shared mechanism, and when does pooling hurt?
type/qa
topic/bayesian-statistics
topic/hierarchical-models
topic/machine-learning
topic/customer-lifetime-value
topic/forecasting
Sep 23, 2026
Probabilistic Forecasting - Index
type/index
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/machine-learning
Sep 18, 2026
DeepAR and Global Autoregressive Neural Forecasters
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/deep-learning
topic/machine-learning
type/method
doc/paper
Sep 18, 2026
Forecast Evaluation and Backtesting
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/model-evaluation
topic/machine-learning
type/method
doc/paper
Sep 18, 2026
Local vs Global Forecasting Models
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/machine-learning
type/concept
doc/paper
Sep 18, 2026
Probabilistic Forecasting - Overview
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/machine-learning
type/overview
doc/paper
Sep 18, 2026
Proper Scoring Rules (CRPS, Log Score, Pinball Loss)
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/scoring-rules
topic/machine-learning
type/concept
doc/paper
Sep 18, 2026
Time-Series Foundation Models (Chronos)
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/foundation-models
topic/transformers
topic/machine-learning
type/method
doc/paper
Sep 18, 2026
Optimal Marketing Decisions and Forecasting
type/concept
topic/market-response
topic/optimization
topic/forecasting
source/hanssens-parsons-schultz-2001
Sep 18, 2026
Hierarchical Forecast Reconciliation (MinT)
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/hierarchical-forecasting
type/method
doc/paper