Second Brain
Search
Search
Dark mode
Light mode
Explorer
Tag: topic/forecasting
18 items with this tag.
Nov 09, 2026
DeepAR and Global Autoregressive Neural Forecasters
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/deep-learning
topic/machine-learning
type/method
doc/paper
Nov 09, 2026
Forecast Evaluation and Backtesting
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/model-evaluation
topic/machine-learning
type/method
doc/paper
Nov 09, 2026
Hierarchical Forecast Reconciliation (MinT)
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/hierarchical-forecasting
type/method
doc/paper
Nov 09, 2026
Local vs Global Forecasting Models
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/machine-learning
type/concept
doc/paper
Nov 09, 2026
Probabilistic Forecasting - Overview
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/machine-learning
type/overview
doc/paper
Nov 09, 2026
Proper Scoring Rules (CRPS, Log Score, Pinball Loss)
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/scoring-rules
topic/machine-learning
type/concept
doc/paper
Nov 09, 2026
Time-Series Foundation Models (Chronos)
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/foundation-models
topic/transformers
topic/machine-learning
type/method
doc/paper
Nov 09, 2026
Granger 2003 - Forecasting, Decision Science and Aggregation
source/ingested
topic/model-validation
topic/time-series
topic/econometrics
topic/forecasting
type/concept
doc/paper
Oct 13, 2026
Optimal Marketing Decisions and Forecasting
type/concept
topic/market-response
topic/optimization
topic/forecasting
source/hanssens-parsons-schultz-2001
Oct 13, 2026
Bergmeir 2018 - Conclusions, Decision Rule and Scope Limits
source/ingested
topic/model-validation
topic/time-series
topic/forecasting
type/concept
doc/paper
Oct 13, 2026
Bergmeir 2018 - Lag-Embedded K-Fold CV vs h-Block CV
source/ingested
topic/model-validation
topic/time-series
topic/forecasting
type/definition
type/concept
doc/paper
Oct 13, 2026
Bergmeir 2018 - Sunspot Example with Ljung-Box Residual Filter
source/ingested
topic/model-validation
topic/time-series
topic/forecasting
type/example
doc/paper
Oct 13, 2026
Bergmeir 2018 - Theorem 1 Validity of K-Fold CV for Autoregressive Models
source/ingested
topic/model-validation
topic/time-series
topic/forecasting
type/theorem
type/definition
doc/paper
Oct 13, 2026
Bergmeir Hyndman Koo 2018 - CV for Time Series - Overview
source/ingested
topic/model-validation
topic/time-series
topic/forecasting
type/overview
doc/paper
Oct 13, 2026
Out-of-Sample Validation for Time-Series Models
source/ingested
topic/model-validation
topic/time-series
topic/forecasting
type/concept
type/synthesis
doc/synthesis
Sep 23, 2026
Q: What changes in the ROAS / mROAS optimization if the outcome is customer lifetime value rather than sales, given that CLV is a model-based forecast observed with delay and censoring?
type/qa
topic/customer-lifetime-value
topic/market-response
topic/causal-inference
topic/forecasting
topic/uncertainty-quantification
Sep 23, 2026
Q: Partial pooling shows up as hierarchical models, James–Stein / empirical Bayes shrinkage, global-local shrinkage priors, the Gamma-Gamma and NBD customer models, global forecasting models and LLM pretraining. What is the shared mechanism, and when does pooling hurt?
type/qa
topic/bayesian-statistics
topic/hierarchical-models
topic/machine-learning
topic/customer-lifetime-value
topic/forecasting
Sep 23, 2026
Probabilistic Forecasting - Index
type/index
source/ingested
topic/forecasting
topic/time-series
topic/machine-learning